Seeing the future: The Demise of Trump, and President Pence

Quite a first month in office for Immortan Trump. 46% want to impeach him. The Flynn resignation. Scandal and incompetence. Rule by incoherent and illiterate executive orders. An increased division between the reality-tunnels people live in based purely on their information sources,

We haven’t seen anything yet.

Really.

Things are going to get off the charts bad before meaningful resistance – thousands and thousands of people, turning up week after week – gets underway. And then it will take as long as it takes. Remember the 60s – public figures assassinated – the 70s – thousands of acts of domestic terrorism. And the system lurched on.

Generally, to get a ruler out of power, somebody’s blood ends up on the streets.

Scattered thoughts:

How quickly Trump is ejected from office will be a measure of the health of American democracy, and, in fact, the ongoing relevance of democracy in the modern world. (Does democracy scale? When we have millions, or hundreds of millions, or billions, can one person really represent them all? What happens when it goes wrong?)

My personal pick for a while has been that Trump will not last a year in the job. What or how will cause his exit, I don’t know. And maybe it will take longer – impeachment and so on may take a while, whereas if he quits that could be quick – while the death throes might take a while, the inciting event will be within the first year.

With Trump gone, we get President Pence. The idea of “President Pence” is as alarming as Trump, just in a different way. Pence is a Tea Party conservative, and he will have two Republican houses behind him. For better or worse, people voted for Trump, and the god-awful sideshow he brings. No one voted for the Tea Party agenda. But Pence knows the system, and can work it effectively.

The total incompetence of Trump, Bannon, and the clown car posse, is quite reassuring. At least, it is if you aren’t in America, in which case they can do a lot of damage. But unless some kind of world crisis emerges that requires sober leadership, or they invade somewhere for the hell of it or approval ratings, the rest of the world can watch the USA burn and sink.

Man. All those US military bases all over the world. Yeah. Remember them. That is why America continues to matter, even more than their economic weight at the centre of the global economy.

Remember a month back when the US President was an eloquent guy with dignity? Time moves differently these days.

There is probably no going back to business as usual for America, or American politics. I don’t know what comes next.

Comments are closed.